Thursday, February 01, 2007

Now I'm convinced that it's natural

A U.N. cover group just sent out a statement from Paris, that their concensus was the global warming is 'very likly' caused by humans.

It doesn't matter to them that the climate has been fluctuating forever, THIS TIME, it's manmade.

Three participants said the group approved the term "very likely" in Thursday's sessions. That means they agree that there is a 90 percent chance that global warming is caused by humans.

"That is a big move. I hope it is a powerful statement," said Jan Pretel, head of the department of climate change at the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute.

The last report, in 2001, said global warming was "likely" caused by human activity. There had been speculation that the participants might try to change the wording this time to "virtually certain," which means a 99 percent chance.

The U.S. government delegation was not one of the more vocal groups in the debate over the "very likely" statement for man-made warming, said other countries' officials. However, several officials credited the head of the panel session, Susan Solomon, a top U.S. government climate scientist, with pushing through the agreement in just 90 minutes.

....YAWN.

They go on to connect those nasty 'Greenhouse gases' (including CO2) in increasing the force of hurricanes ...
The report will also say that global warming has made stronger hurricanes, including those on the Atlantic Ocean such as 2005's Katrina, according to Fields and other delegates.

They said the panel approved language saying an increase in hurricane and tropical cyclone strength since 1970 "more likely than not" can be attributed to man-made global warming.

The panel did note that the increase in stronger storms differs in various parts of the globe, but that the storms that strike the Americas are global warming-influenced.
Sorry, I'm not sure what that last sentence ment.

In 2001, the same panel had said there was not enough evidence to make such a conclusion.

This week's report will also mark departure from a November 2006 statement by the
World Meteorological Organization, which helped found the IPCC. The meteorological organization, after contentious debate, said it could not link past stronger storms to global warming.
Yeah, I guess it would be hard to link the ferocious storms and dustbowls of the '30s to something that hadn't occurred yet.

A draft of the report predicts a temperature increase of between 2.5 to 10.4 degrees by the year 2100, although that could be adjusted.
An eight degree span in less than 100 years sounds more like a WAG to me- I thought they had computers to figure this stuff out.

Another contentious issue is predictions of sea level rise. Scientists are trying to incorporate concerns that their early drafts underestimate how much the sea level will rise by 2100 because they cannot predict how much ice will melt from Greenland and Antarctica.

In early drafts, scientists predicted a sea level rise of no more than 23 inches by 2100, but that does not include the ice sheet melts.

Hey, here's an idea! (brilliant, if I say so myself) Go back to the mappes of Merrey Olde Englande of the late Roman occupation- Remember, when they were growing tropical fruits in their fields because of GLOBAL WARMING. But that was before the NEXT ICE AGE that followed.

I do have to admit that I'm a little surprised that America wasn't singled out as the major cause,
I guess they didn't have time to include that.

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